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Viser: Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence
Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence
Katherine H. Pherson og Randolph H. Pherson
(2016)
Sprog: Engelsk
Detaljer om varen
- 2. Udgave
- Paperback: 408 sider
- Udgiver: CQ Press (November 2016)
- Forfattere: Katherine H. Pherson og Randolph H. Pherson
- ISBN: 9781506316888
I. How Do I Get Started?1. Who Are Your Clients?2. What Are the Key Questions?3. What Is the Broader Context for the Analysis?4. How Should I Conceptualize My Product?5. What Is My Analytic Approach?6. Can Collaboration Contribute to a Better Answer?Part
II. Where Is the Information I Need?7. How Do Models Help My Analysis?8. What Types of Information Are Available?9. Can I Trust the Sources?10. How Should I Assess the Reliability of Internet Information?Part
III. What Is My Argument?11. Are My Key Assumptions Well-Founded?12. Can I Make My Case?13. Did I Consider Alternative Hypotheses?14. How Do I Deal With Politicization?15. How Might I Be Spectacularly Wrong?Part
IV. How Do I Convey My Message Effectively?16. Is My Argument Persuasive?17. How Should I Portray Probability, Levels of Confidence, and Quantitative Data?18. How Can Graphics Support My Analysis?19. How Do I Present My Message in the Most Compelling Way?20. How Do I Know When I Am Finished?Part
V. Case StudiesI. Countering the Iranian Nuclear Threat: Stuxnet and Its Broader ImplicationsII. Puzzling Food Poisonings in GermanyIII. The End of the Era of Aircraft CarriersIV. Financial Crises in the United States: Chronic or Avoidable?V. Yemen: An Expanding Security Threat?Glossary of TermsList of NamesRecommended ReadingsUS Government PublicationsIndexThe Analyst's Roadmap (Inside Back Cover)